August Recap 2022
Orange County Housing Summary
The active listing appears to have reached a peak a couple of weeks ago with a 39 home drop, or 1%, and now sits at 4,030 homes. In July, there were 19% fewer homes that came on the market compared to the 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019), 721 fewer. Last year, there were 2,528 homes on the market, 1,502 fewer homes, or 37% less. The 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019) was 6,723, or 67% more.
Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 37 pending sales in the past two weeks, up 2%, and now totals 1,849. It is still the lowest reading for mid-August since 2007. Last year, there were 2,694 pending sales, 46% more than today. The 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019) was 2,574, or 39% more.
With supply falling and demand rising, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange County listings at the current buying pace, decreased from 67 to 65 days in the past couple of weeks, a Slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days). It was at 28 days last year, much stronger than today.
For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an Expected Market Time of 47 days. This range represents 20% of the active inventory and 28% of demand.
For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the Expected Market Time is 62 days, a Slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 25% of the active inventory and 26% of demand.
For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the Expected Market Time is 60 days, a Slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 12% of the active inventory and 14% of demand.
For homes priced between $1.25 million to $1.5 million, the Expected Market Time is 65 days, a Slight Seller’s Market. This range represents 11% of the active inventory and 11% of demand.
For homes priced between $1.5 million to $2 million, the Expected Market Time is 75 days, a Slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days). This range represents 11% of the active inventory and 10% of demand.
For homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time in the past two weeks decreased from 99 to 98 days. For homes priced between $4 million and $8 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 179 to 159 days. For homes priced above $8 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 320 to 225 days.
The luxury end, all homes above $2 million, accounts for 21% of the inventory and 12% of demand.
Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.2% of all listings and 0.3% of demand. There are only 5 foreclosures and 2 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 7 total distressed home on the active market, unchanged from two weeks ago. Last year there were 12 total distressed homes on the market, similar to today.
There were 1,959 closed residential resales in July, 39% less than July 2021’s 3,205 closed sales. July marked a 17% decrease compared to June 2022. The sales to list price ratio was 100.7% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for 0.05% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.05%. That means that 99.9% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.
July Recap 2022
• The active listing inventory continued to rise, adding 238 homes in the past couple of weeks, up 6%, and now
totals 4,041 homes, breaking past the 4,000-home level for the first time since October 2020. The rate of growth
of the inventory as slowed. In June, there were 11% fewer homes that came on the market compared to the 3-
year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019), 418 fewer. Last year, there were 2,537 homes on the market, 1,504
fewer homes, or 37% less. The 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019) was 6,776, or 68% more.
• Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, decreased by 17 pending sales in the past two
weeks, down 1%, and now totals 1,693, its lowest level at this time of year since tracking began in 2004. Last
year, there were 2,812 pending sales, 66% more than today. The 3-year average prior to COVID (2017 to 2019)
was 2,578, or 52% more.
• With supply rising and demand falling, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange County
listings at the current buying pace, rose from 67 to 72 days in the past couple of weeks, a Slight Seller’s Market
(between 60 and 90 days). Housing is rapidly cooling, and the market time is at its highest level since May of
2020. It was at 27 days last year, much stronger than today.
• For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an Expected
Market Time of 51 days. This range represents 19% of the active inventory and 27% of demand.
• For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the Expected Market Time is 66 days, a Slight Seller’s
Market. This range represents 25% of the active inventory and 27% of demand.
• For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the Expected Market Time is 68 days, a Slight Seller’s
Market. This range represents 13% of the active inventory and 14% of demand.
• For homes priced between $1.25 million to $1.5 million, the Expected Market Time is 71 days, a Slight Seller’s
Market. This range represents 11% of the active inventory and 11% of demand.
• For homes priced between $1.5 million to $2 million, the Expected Market Time is 82 days, a Slight Seller’s
Market (between 60 and 90 days). This range represents 11% of the active inventory and 10% of demand.
• For homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time in the past two weeks increased
from 98 to 107 days. For homes priced between $4 million and $8 million, the Expected Market Time increased
from 159 to 173 days. For homes priced above $8 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 625 to 372
days.
• The luxury end, all homes above $2 million, accounts for 20% of the inventory and 10.5% of demand.
• Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.1% of all listings and 0.2% of
demand. There are only 4 foreclosures and 2 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 6
total distressed home on the active market, unchanged from two weeks ago. Last year there were 12 total
distressed homes on the market, similar to today.
• There were 2,362 closed residential resales in June, 33% less than June 2021’s 3,545 closed sales. June marked a 6% decrease compared to May 2022. The sales to list price ratio was 101.5% for all of Orange County.
Foreclosures accounted for 0.1% of all closed sales, and there were no closed short sales. That means that
99.9% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.
